Tropical Storm Melissa Intensifies While Heads Towards the Island Nation
Hurricane Melissa is projected to escalate to a uncommon Category 5 storm as it shifts toward the Caribbean island, delivering deadly rapid inundation and rock falls.
This weather system, which had wind speeds of up to 120 miles per hour as of 0600 Greenwich Mean Time, is now shifting northwest in the Caribbean Sea and is anticipated to reach land by early next week, based on data from hurricane specialists.
Alerts of power cuts and damage to infrastructure have been released as the hurricane generates up to 76cm of precipitation and storm surges as high as thirteen feet above ground. "Seek shelter now," residents have been told.
Melissa is the thirteenth hurricane in this year's Atlantic season, which normally finishes in late autumn.
Most Intense Hurricane Risk
A Category 5 cyclone is the strongest type, with wind speeds of at least 157mph.
Although this storm is set to reduce in intensity to a fourth-level hurricane before arriving at Jamaica, authorities said there was "minimal real distinction in the general consequences" upon landfall, and that the cyclone will be "equally strong" when it strikes the island.
Immediate Readiness Measures
With tropical storm-strength winds and rain already expected well before it crosses the island's interior - perhaps encompassing the capital, Kingston - advisories emphasize that "safety measures need to be finalized quickly".
"An extended timeframe of destructive gusts and heavy rainfall are underway and will cause devastating and dangerous flash flooding and numerous rock slides," urged meteorological officials.
Jamaican Prime Minister the official said: "I realize that there are many Jamaicans who are anxious, who are very concerned, and with good reason: concern is justified.
"However the most effective method to address worry and any nervousness and worry is to stay ready."
Inhabitants are being advised to fortify their houses with protective bags and plywood sheets, and to accumulate basic necessities.
Wider Consequences
Advisories are also active for regions of the neighboring country including the primary urban center, the Dominican Republic and eastern Cuba, where this storm is anticipated to bring similar effects by the midweek period.
Landslides presently generated by the hurricane have already killed two in the country, according to local authorities.
Future Path
The hurricane is forecast to cross the island nation by Wednesday before passing across the Greater Antilles and emerging into the Atlantic Ocean.
By the point it reaches Cuba, it is predicted to have diminished to a category three storm.
Environmental Background
Although it is challenging to link particular meteorological occurrences to global warming, experts say it is resulting in weather phenomena more common and more extreme.
Warmer oceans create greater water vapor in the environment, helping fuel the development of tropical cyclones.
Before the commencement of this season's Caribbean cyclone season, weather organizations forecast above-normal activity, referencing warmer seas and likely enhanced seasonal rains around West Africa - where Atlantic storms frequently develop.